QUESTION

While you are an analyst at Investment Counselors, Inc., the senior portfolio manager at your firm makes a decision to increase sporting goods apparel manufacturer stocks in the firm’s managed funds. You are assigned to recommend one stock as an initial investment to meet this long run objective. You diligently analyze and evaluate all communication stocks and narrow the decision to two athletic shoe manufacturing companies: Bata and Lotto. The senior portfolio manager requests that you analyze the internal sources of earnings growth for each Company. You decide to disaggregate and evaluate the internal growth components for each company to explain any trends in your variable of interest, return on common equity. You identify the key components driving ROCE and develop the following spread sheet:

Bata

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Return on Equity (ROCE)

21.60%

12.10%

18.10%

17.80%

18.50%

Return on net operating assets

(RNOA)

19.20%

15.50%

14.20%

13.40%

13.30%

Financial leverage (LEV)

14.40%

24.80%

32.80%

41.30%

46.0%

Spread

16.60%

-13.90%

11.90%

10.60%

11.30%

Sales growth

14.55%

8.13%

4.26%

5.49%

2.49%

Gross profit margin

42.90%

41.00%

39.30%

39.00%

39.90%

SG & A expenses/sales

32.70%

31.90%

31.40%

30.60%

31.50%

NOPAT/Sales

7.80%

7.10%

7.00%

6.60%

6.80%

Tax expenses/Pretax income

34.80%

34.10%

34.30%

36.0%

37.7%

NOA turnover

2.44

2.19

2.03

2.02

1.96

Receivable turnover

5.83

5.50

5.78

5.95

5.79

Average collection period

62.62

66.33

63.19

61.37

63.09

Inventory turnover

4.45

4.37

4.29

4.03

4.13

Average inventory days outstanding

82.07

83.50

85.04

90.54

88.37

Long-term operating assets turnover

6.56

5.46

4.67

4.47

4.18

Accounts payable turnover

10.48

11.72

12.83

11.86

10.62

Average payable days outstanding

34.84

31.13

28.46

30.78

34.36

Return on equity (ROCE)

15.70%

15.10%

15.0%

13.40%

1.90%

Return on net operating assets (RNOA)

12.70%

12.30%

12.10%

10.10%

7.90%

Financial leverage (LEV)

36.70%

44.50%

53.80%

78.80%

101.0%

Spread

8.20%

6.30%

5.40%

4.20%

-6.00%

Sales growth

11.43%

4.51%

4.45%

-1.19%

-10.07%

Gross profit margin

38.40%

38.30%

36.70%

37.90%

38.50%

SG & A expenses/sales

32.20%

32.40%

31.80%

33.60%

35.20%

NOPAT/Sales

5.00%

4.80%

4.30%

3.80%

3.20%

Tax expenses/Pretax income

30.80%

31.00%

31.00%

36.10%

36.00%

NOA turnover

2.55

2.59

2.84

2.66

2.55

Receivables turnover

7.31

7.77

7.42

6.81

6.20

Lotto

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

Average collection period

49.96

46.98

49.22

53.58

58.86

Inventory turnover

5.71

5.06

5.01

4.40

3.76

Average inventory days outstanding

63.95

72.10

72.88

82.88

97.17

Long-term operating assets turnover

13.67

12.62

12.31

10.25

9.03

Accounts payable turnover

13.33

13.16

12.66

10.92

9.99

Average payable days outstanding

27.37

27.74

28.83

33.43

36.54

Required:

(a) Describe and interpret how the recent five year trend in the components of ROCE determines the ROCE for both Bata and Lotto.

(b) Recommended a “buy” on one of these companies based on your analysis. Support your recommendation with reference to your analysis in (a).

Public Answer

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